fullseye

simcal_validate — SIMCAL check op

使い方

Over-fitting gates on held-out images; any one failing rejects the calibration (the estimates are withdrawn).

holdout (and locked): observed simmodels of the same knobs (simcal_observe with split='holdout' / 'locked') or image lists for the fitted model’s conditions. Errors are reduced chi^2 (1 = the residuals are exactly the noise). Gates, each recorded in validation.gates with its value and limit:

  1. beats_initial — holdout error at the estimate < holdout error at the initial knobs;
  2. holdout_over_train — holdout / train <= 1 + tau, tau = the bootstrap 95 % relative spread of the train error over its pixels (n_boot resamples) unless given;
  3. beats_gain_offset — better than the initial simulation re-scaled by a fitted gain and offset only (the cheapest model that could explain the images);
  4. estimate_plausible — every estimate inside its range, not within 1 % of an end, and within 3 sd of its prior when one is given;
  5. knobs_within_dims — free knobs <= output directions above noise (dims, or computed from a Latin hypercube over the knobs with sensitivity.mv_residual_pca);
  6. fit_consistent_with_noise — the absolute gate: on the train images (nu = pixels − free knobs) and on the holdout images (nu = pixels), chi^2 of the noise-normalised residuals has an upper-tail probability P(chi^2_nu >= chi^2) of at least alpha (default 1e-3). Gates 1-5 are relative comparisons and pass a fit that is 60 times the noise everywhere (a thin film in the wrong fringe order, measured); this one does not. Judged on p, not on chi^2/nu, because chi^2/nu concentrates on 1 for large nu (both are returned). The variance is the noise model’s plus, for a stochastic model, its sample variance. A failure means: the fit is bad for this noise model — a local minimum, a model discrepancy, or a noise estimate that is too small. ★It does NOT detect a noise model that is too large: over-estimating the variance by 4x drives p to 1 and the gate passes (measured) — that direction is visible only as chi^2/nu « 1.

locked is scored once (errors.locked) and is not used by any gate; a result that already carries a LOCKED score is refused (the robust.py discipline: the untouched number is untouched only once).

詳しい使い方ガイド

参考(サンプルデータ・文献)

実行できる例(この op を実際に呼ぶ検証済みサンプル)

型が繋がる次の op(calresult を入力に取れる)

simcal_identifiability · simcal_uncertainty · simcal_discrepancy · simcal_report

同カテゴリ(check)

simcal_identifiability · simcal_uncertainty · simcal_discrepancy


Provenance: simcalcheck.py — SIMCAL operator registry. この per-op ノートは tools/opdocs.py md が自動生成(手編集しない)。

© 2026 Kazufumi Furuse — Fullseye operator documentation. Licensed under Apache-2.0.